Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:11 AM, 156 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 168,454 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 135,256 - 190,246). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	11:11 AM	2300	c(2.5% = 1918)	c(97.5% = 2441)
02	11:11 AM	3832	c(2.5% = 3324)	c(97.5% = 4098)
03	11:11 AM	2150	c(2.5% = 1751)	c(97.5% = 2467)
04	11:11 AM	2164	c(2.5% = 1664)	c(97.5% = 2622)
05	11:11 AM	5648	c(2.5% = 4660)	c(97.5% = 5991)
06	11:11 AM	1472	c(2.5% = 1231)	c(97.5% = 1710)
07	11:11 AM	1470	c(2.5% = 683)	c(97.5% = 2181)
08	11:11 AM	5208	c(2.5% = 4376)	c(97.5% = 5652)
09	11:11 AM	2471	c(2.5% = 2129)	c(97.5% = 2686)
10	11:11 AM	3148	c(2.5% = 2685)	c(97.5% = 3706)
11	11:11 AM	1373	c(2.5% = 1039)	c(97.5% = 1699)
12	11:11 AM	2381	c(2.5% = 1928)	c(97.5% = 2844)
13	11:11 AM	2139	c(2.5% = 1691)	c(97.5% = 2588)
14	11:11 AM	950	c(2.5% = 788)	c(97.5% = 1077)
15	11:11 AM	2712	c(2.5% = 2366)	c(97.5% = 2923)
16	11:11 AM	1149	c(2.5% = 817)	c(97.5% = 1452)
17	11:11 AM	2619	c(2.5% = 2096)	c(97.5% = 3120)
18	11:11 AM	2322	c(2.5% = 1781)	c(97.5% = 2602)
19	11:11 AM	1086	c(2.5% = 606)	c(97.5% = 1527)
20	11:11 AM	1095	c(2.5% = 730)	c(97.5% = 1367)
21	11:11 AM	6093	c(2.5% = 4780)	c(97.5% = 6636)
22	11:11 AM	3321	c(2.5% = 2952)	c(97.5% = 3658)
23	11:11 AM	1996	c(2.5% = 1437)	c(97.5% = 2377)
24	11:11 AM	1729	c(2.5% = 1302)	c(97.5% = 2016)
25	11:11 AM	1626	c(2.5% = 1115)	c(97.5% = 1923)
26	11:11 AM	2314	c(2.5% = 1768)	c(97.5% = 2566)
27	11:11 AM	3195	c(2.5% = 2205)	c(97.5% = 3918)
28	11:11 AM	1222	c(2.5% = 878)	c(97.5% = 1549)
29	11:11 AM	1228	c(2.5% = 1014)	c(97.5% = 1398)
30	11:11 AM	2491	c(2.5% = 2226)	c(97.5% = 2702)
31	11:11 AM	2115	c(2.5% = 1761)	c(97.5% = 2221)
32	11:11 AM	2053	c(2.5% = 1450)	c(97.5% = 2580)
33	11:11 AM	1723	c(2.5% = 884)	c(97.5% = 2374)
34	11:11 AM	4508	c(2.5% = 3753)	c(97.5% = 5152)
35	11:11 AM	3062	c(2.5% = 2115)	c(97.5% = 3649)
36	11:11 AM	3679	c(2.5% = 2983)	c(97.5% = 4124)
37	11:11 AM	1314	c(2.5% = 900)	c(97.5% = 1682)
38	11:11 AM	2244	c(2.5% = 1833)	c(97.5% = 2497)
39	11:11 AM	4372	c(2.5% = 3450)	c(97.5% = 4803)
40	11:11 AM	4757	c(2.5% = 3622)	c(97.5% = 5595)
41	11:11 AM	1787	c(2.5% = 1222)	c(97.5% = 2105)
42	11:11 AM	2390	c(2.5% = 1517)	c(97.5% = 3065)
43	11:11 AM	1854	c(2.5% = 1087)	c(97.5% = 2508)
44	11:11 AM	1456	c(2.5% = 1119)	c(97.5% = 1760)
45	11:11 AM	2052	c(2.5% = 1474)	c(97.5% = 2400)
46	11:11 AM	2782	c(2.5% = 2496)	c(97.5% = 3085)
47	11:11 AM	897	c(2.5% = 666)	c(97.5% = 1060)
48	11:11 AM	2113	c(2.5% = 1632)	c(97.5% = 2439)
49	11:11 AM	2673	c(2.5% = 2047)	c(97.5% = 3236)
50	11:11 AM	3658	c(2.5% = 3174)	c(97.5% = 4072)
51	11:11 AM	2369	c(2.5% = 1900)	c(97.5% = 2880)
52	11:11 AM	2878	c(2.5% = 2435)	c(97.5% = 3234)
53	11:11 AM	2058	c(2.5% = 1420)	c(97.5% = 2450)
54	11:11 AM	1479	c(2.5% = 899)	c(97.5% = 1825)
55	11:11 AM	2319	c(2.5% = 1624)	c(97.5% = 2712)
56	11:11 AM	3391	c(2.5% = 2562)	c(97.5% = 3894)
57	11:11 AM	2973	c(2.5% = 2283)	c(97.5% = 3335)
58	11:11 AM	4987	c(2.5% = 3798)	c(97.5% = 5644)
59	11:11 AM	2535	c(2.5% = 2122)	c(97.5% = 2955)
60	11:11 AM	2014	c(2.5% = 1679)	c(97.5% = 2349)
61	11:11 AM	3170	c(2.5% = 2410)	c(97.5% = 3789)
62	11:11 AM	2208	c(2.5% = 1427)	c(97.5% = 2688)
63	11:11 AM	2814	c(2.5% = 2228)	c(97.5% = 3140)
64	11:11 AM	1583	c(2.5% = 1166)	c(97.5% = 1825)
65	11:11 AM	2312	c(2.5% = 1814)	c(97.5% = 2610)
66	11:11 AM	4970	c(2.5% = 3899)	c(97.5% = 5585)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:11 AM	3103	151
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions