Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 11:11 AM, 156 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 168,454 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 135,256 - 190,246). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:11 AM | 2300 |
c(2.5% = 1918)
|
c(97.5% = 2441)
|
| 02 | 11:11 AM | 3832 |
c(2.5% = 3324)
|
c(97.5% = 4098)
|
| 03 | 11:11 AM | 2150 |
c(2.5% = 1751)
|
c(97.5% = 2467)
|
| 04 | 11:11 AM | 2164 |
c(2.5% = 1664)
|
c(97.5% = 2622)
|
| 05 | 11:11 AM | 5648 |
c(2.5% = 4660)
|
c(97.5% = 5991)
|
| 06 | 11:11 AM | 1472 |
c(2.5% = 1231)
|
c(97.5% = 1710)
|
| 07 | 11:11 AM | 1470 |
c(2.5% = 683)
|
c(97.5% = 2181)
|
| 08 | 11:11 AM | 5208 |
c(2.5% = 4376)
|
c(97.5% = 5652)
|
| 09 | 11:11 AM | 2471 |
c(2.5% = 2129)
|
c(97.5% = 2686)
|
| 10 | 11:11 AM | 3148 |
c(2.5% = 2685)
|
c(97.5% = 3706)
|
| 11 | 11:11 AM | 1373 |
c(2.5% = 1039)
|
c(97.5% = 1699)
|
| 12 | 11:11 AM | 2381 |
c(2.5% = 1928)
|
c(97.5% = 2844)
|
| 13 | 11:11 AM | 2139 |
c(2.5% = 1691)
|
c(97.5% = 2588)
|
| 14 | 11:11 AM | 950 |
c(2.5% = 788)
|
c(97.5% = 1077)
|
| 15 | 11:11 AM | 2712 |
c(2.5% = 2366)
|
c(97.5% = 2923)
|
| 16 | 11:11 AM | 1149 |
c(2.5% = 817)
|
c(97.5% = 1452)
|
| 17 | 11:11 AM | 2619 |
c(2.5% = 2096)
|
c(97.5% = 3120)
|
| 18 | 11:11 AM | 2322 |
c(2.5% = 1781)
|
c(97.5% = 2602)
|
| 19 | 11:11 AM | 1086 |
c(2.5% = 606)
|
c(97.5% = 1527)
|
| 20 | 11:11 AM | 1095 |
c(2.5% = 730)
|
c(97.5% = 1367)
|
| 21 | 11:11 AM | 6093 |
c(2.5% = 4780)
|
c(97.5% = 6636)
|
| 22 | 11:11 AM | 3321 |
c(2.5% = 2952)
|
c(97.5% = 3658)
|
| 23 | 11:11 AM | 1996 |
c(2.5% = 1437)
|
c(97.5% = 2377)
|
| 24 | 11:11 AM | 1729 |
c(2.5% = 1302)
|
c(97.5% = 2016)
|
| 25 | 11:11 AM | 1626 |
c(2.5% = 1115)
|
c(97.5% = 1923)
|
| 26 | 11:11 AM | 2314 |
c(2.5% = 1768)
|
c(97.5% = 2566)
|
| 27 | 11:11 AM | 3195 |
c(2.5% = 2205)
|
c(97.5% = 3918)
|
| 28 | 11:11 AM | 1222 |
c(2.5% = 878)
|
c(97.5% = 1549)
|
| 29 | 11:11 AM | 1228 |
c(2.5% = 1014)
|
c(97.5% = 1398)
|
| 30 | 11:11 AM | 2491 |
c(2.5% = 2226)
|
c(97.5% = 2702)
|
| 31 | 11:11 AM | 2115 |
c(2.5% = 1761)
|
c(97.5% = 2221)
|
| 32 | 11:11 AM | 2053 |
c(2.5% = 1450)
|
c(97.5% = 2580)
|
| 33 | 11:11 AM | 1723 |
c(2.5% = 884)
|
c(97.5% = 2374)
|
| 34 | 11:11 AM | 4508 |
c(2.5% = 3753)
|
c(97.5% = 5152)
|
| 35 | 11:11 AM | 3062 |
c(2.5% = 2115)
|
c(97.5% = 3649)
|
| 36 | 11:11 AM | 3679 |
c(2.5% = 2983)
|
c(97.5% = 4124)
|
| 37 | 11:11 AM | 1314 |
c(2.5% = 900)
|
c(97.5% = 1682)
|
| 38 | 11:11 AM | 2244 |
c(2.5% = 1833)
|
c(97.5% = 2497)
|
| 39 | 11:11 AM | 4372 |
c(2.5% = 3450)
|
c(97.5% = 4803)
|
| 40 | 11:11 AM | 4757 |
c(2.5% = 3622)
|
c(97.5% = 5595)
|
| 41 | 11:11 AM | 1787 |
c(2.5% = 1222)
|
c(97.5% = 2105)
|
| 42 | 11:11 AM | 2390 |
c(2.5% = 1517)
|
c(97.5% = 3065)
|
| 43 | 11:11 AM | 1854 |
c(2.5% = 1087)
|
c(97.5% = 2508)
|
| 44 | 11:11 AM | 1456 |
c(2.5% = 1119)
|
c(97.5% = 1760)
|
| 45 | 11:11 AM | 2052 |
c(2.5% = 1474)
|
c(97.5% = 2400)
|
| 46 | 11:11 AM | 2782 |
c(2.5% = 2496)
|
c(97.5% = 3085)
|
| 47 | 11:11 AM | 897 |
c(2.5% = 666)
|
c(97.5% = 1060)
|
| 48 | 11:11 AM | 2113 |
c(2.5% = 1632)
|
c(97.5% = 2439)
|
| 49 | 11:11 AM | 2673 |
c(2.5% = 2047)
|
c(97.5% = 3236)
|
| 50 | 11:11 AM | 3658 |
c(2.5% = 3174)
|
c(97.5% = 4072)
|
| 51 | 11:11 AM | 2369 |
c(2.5% = 1900)
|
c(97.5% = 2880)
|
| 52 | 11:11 AM | 2878 |
c(2.5% = 2435)
|
c(97.5% = 3234)
|
| 53 | 11:11 AM | 2058 |
c(2.5% = 1420)
|
c(97.5% = 2450)
|
| 54 | 11:11 AM | 1479 |
c(2.5% = 899)
|
c(97.5% = 1825)
|
| 55 | 11:11 AM | 2319 |
c(2.5% = 1624)
|
c(97.5% = 2712)
|
| 56 | 11:11 AM | 3391 |
c(2.5% = 2562)
|
c(97.5% = 3894)
|
| 57 | 11:11 AM | 2973 |
c(2.5% = 2283)
|
c(97.5% = 3335)
|
| 58 | 11:11 AM | 4987 |
c(2.5% = 3798)
|
c(97.5% = 5644)
|
| 59 | 11:11 AM | 2535 |
c(2.5% = 2122)
|
c(97.5% = 2955)
|
| 60 | 11:11 AM | 2014 |
c(2.5% = 1679)
|
c(97.5% = 2349)
|
| 61 | 11:11 AM | 3170 |
c(2.5% = 2410)
|
c(97.5% = 3789)
|
| 62 | 11:11 AM | 2208 |
c(2.5% = 1427)
|
c(97.5% = 2688)
|
| 63 | 11:11 AM | 2814 |
c(2.5% = 2228)
|
c(97.5% = 3140)
|
| 64 | 11:11 AM | 1583 |
c(2.5% = 1166)
|
c(97.5% = 1825)
|
| 65 | 11:11 AM | 2312 |
c(2.5% = 1814)
|
c(97.5% = 2610)
|
| 66 | 11:11 AM | 4970 |
c(2.5% = 3899)
|
c(97.5% = 5585)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions