Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:11 AM, 156 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 168,454 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 135,256 - 190,246). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:11 AM 2300 c(2.5% = 1918) c(97.5% = 2441)
02 11:11 AM 3832 c(2.5% = 3324) c(97.5% = 4098)
03 11:11 AM 2150 c(2.5% = 1751) c(97.5% = 2467)
04 11:11 AM 2164 c(2.5% = 1664) c(97.5% = 2622)
05 11:11 AM 5648 c(2.5% = 4660) c(97.5% = 5991)
06 11:11 AM 1472 c(2.5% = 1231) c(97.5% = 1710)
07 11:11 AM 1470 c(2.5% = 683) c(97.5% = 2181)
08 11:11 AM 5208 c(2.5% = 4376) c(97.5% = 5652)
09 11:11 AM 2471 c(2.5% = 2129) c(97.5% = 2686)
10 11:11 AM 3148 c(2.5% = 2685) c(97.5% = 3706)
11 11:11 AM 1373 c(2.5% = 1039) c(97.5% = 1699)
12 11:11 AM 2381 c(2.5% = 1928) c(97.5% = 2844)
13 11:11 AM 2139 c(2.5% = 1691) c(97.5% = 2588)
14 11:11 AM 950 c(2.5% = 788) c(97.5% = 1077)
15 11:11 AM 2712 c(2.5% = 2366) c(97.5% = 2923)
16 11:11 AM 1149 c(2.5% = 817) c(97.5% = 1452)
17 11:11 AM 2619 c(2.5% = 2096) c(97.5% = 3120)
18 11:11 AM 2322 c(2.5% = 1781) c(97.5% = 2602)
19 11:11 AM 1086 c(2.5% = 606) c(97.5% = 1527)
20 11:11 AM 1095 c(2.5% = 730) c(97.5% = 1367)
21 11:11 AM 6093 c(2.5% = 4780) c(97.5% = 6636)
22 11:11 AM 3321 c(2.5% = 2952) c(97.5% = 3658)
23 11:11 AM 1996 c(2.5% = 1437) c(97.5% = 2377)
24 11:11 AM 1729 c(2.5% = 1302) c(97.5% = 2016)
25 11:11 AM 1626 c(2.5% = 1115) c(97.5% = 1923)
26 11:11 AM 2314 c(2.5% = 1768) c(97.5% = 2566)
27 11:11 AM 3195 c(2.5% = 2205) c(97.5% = 3918)
28 11:11 AM 1222 c(2.5% = 878) c(97.5% = 1549)
29 11:11 AM 1228 c(2.5% = 1014) c(97.5% = 1398)
30 11:11 AM 2491 c(2.5% = 2226) c(97.5% = 2702)
31 11:11 AM 2115 c(2.5% = 1761) c(97.5% = 2221)
32 11:11 AM 2053 c(2.5% = 1450) c(97.5% = 2580)
33 11:11 AM 1723 c(2.5% = 884) c(97.5% = 2374)
34 11:11 AM 4508 c(2.5% = 3753) c(97.5% = 5152)
35 11:11 AM 3062 c(2.5% = 2115) c(97.5% = 3649)
36 11:11 AM 3679 c(2.5% = 2983) c(97.5% = 4124)
37 11:11 AM 1314 c(2.5% = 900) c(97.5% = 1682)
38 11:11 AM 2244 c(2.5% = 1833) c(97.5% = 2497)
39 11:11 AM 4372 c(2.5% = 3450) c(97.5% = 4803)
40 11:11 AM 4757 c(2.5% = 3622) c(97.5% = 5595)
41 11:11 AM 1787 c(2.5% = 1222) c(97.5% = 2105)
42 11:11 AM 2390 c(2.5% = 1517) c(97.5% = 3065)
43 11:11 AM 1854 c(2.5% = 1087) c(97.5% = 2508)
44 11:11 AM 1456 c(2.5% = 1119) c(97.5% = 1760)
45 11:11 AM 2052 c(2.5% = 1474) c(97.5% = 2400)
46 11:11 AM 2782 c(2.5% = 2496) c(97.5% = 3085)
47 11:11 AM 897 c(2.5% = 666) c(97.5% = 1060)
48 11:11 AM 2113 c(2.5% = 1632) c(97.5% = 2439)
49 11:11 AM 2673 c(2.5% = 2047) c(97.5% = 3236)
50 11:11 AM 3658 c(2.5% = 3174) c(97.5% = 4072)
51 11:11 AM 2369 c(2.5% = 1900) c(97.5% = 2880)
52 11:11 AM 2878 c(2.5% = 2435) c(97.5% = 3234)
53 11:11 AM 2058 c(2.5% = 1420) c(97.5% = 2450)
54 11:11 AM 1479 c(2.5% = 899) c(97.5% = 1825)
55 11:11 AM 2319 c(2.5% = 1624) c(97.5% = 2712)
56 11:11 AM 3391 c(2.5% = 2562) c(97.5% = 3894)
57 11:11 AM 2973 c(2.5% = 2283) c(97.5% = 3335)
58 11:11 AM 4987 c(2.5% = 3798) c(97.5% = 5644)
59 11:11 AM 2535 c(2.5% = 2122) c(97.5% = 2955)
60 11:11 AM 2014 c(2.5% = 1679) c(97.5% = 2349)
61 11:11 AM 3170 c(2.5% = 2410) c(97.5% = 3789)
62 11:11 AM 2208 c(2.5% = 1427) c(97.5% = 2688)
63 11:11 AM 2814 c(2.5% = 2228) c(97.5% = 3140)
64 11:11 AM 1583 c(2.5% = 1166) c(97.5% = 1825)
65 11:11 AM 2312 c(2.5% = 1814) c(97.5% = 2610)
66 11:11 AM 4970 c(2.5% = 3899) c(97.5% = 5585)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions